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SALES-TO-PAYROLL WEDGE: A PROFIT NECESSITY

By Albert D. BatesMost distributors are experiencing strong sales gains. The serious concerns about generating adequate sales are largely a thing of the past. Unfortunately, the strong increases in sales are not translating into strong increases in profit. Expenses — especially payroll expenses — are absorbing an excessive amount of the increase in sales.The key to overcoming this problem (and generating substantially higher profits) is to produce a “sales-to-payroll wedge.” Simply put, sales must grow faster than payroll expense. It is simple to understand, but difficult to implement. Let’s examine the nature of the sales-to-payroll wedge from two perspectives:⦁ The economics of a sales-to-payroll wedge: how sales growth and payroll   control combine to produce higher profits.⦁ Implementing the wedge: specific management actions required to generate a   sales-to-payroll wedge.The Economics of a Sales-to-Payroll WedgeOne of the oldest management bromides in distribution is, “Sales are vanity, profits are sanity.” Bromide or not, the statement continues to be true. Sales growth almost always helps, but what is needed is sales growth that does not require a commensurate increase in payroll expenses. Figure 1. The Impact of a 2% Sales-to-Payroll Wedge for a Typical PEI Member  2.0 % Sales-to-Payroll WedgeIncome Statement ($)Current Results5.0% Sales Growth15.0% Sales GrowthNet Sales$7,000,000$7,350,000$8,050,000Cost of Goods Sold4,970,0005,218,5005,715,500Gross Margin2,030,0002,131,5002,334,500Expenses   Payroll and Fringe Benefits1,225,0001,261,7501,384,250All Other Expenses665,000698,250764,750Total Expenses1,890,0001,960,0002,149,000Profit Before Taxes$140,000$171,500$185,500    Income Statement (%)   Net Sales100.0100.0100.0Cost of Goods Sold71.071.071.0Gross Margin29.029.029.0Expenses   Payroll and Fringe Benefits17.517.217.2All Other Expenses9.59.59.5Total Expenses27.026.726.7Profit Before Taxes2.02.32.3Figure 1 shows the economics of sales and payroll growth. It reflects the results for a typical PEI member based on the latest “Distributor Profitability Report” (DPR) published for PEI by the Profit Planning Group. The Current Results column indicates that the typical firm generates $7 million in sales and operates on a gross margin of 29 percent of sales. It produces a pretax profit of 2 percent of sales, or $140,000. Total expenses are weighted heavily toward payroll, which represents 17.5 percent of sales, or 64.8 percent of total expenses. This is why payroll control is critical.The last two columns examine the impact of a sales-to-payroll wedge. Again, this means that sales growth outpaces payroll growth. Two sales growth scenarios are used to examine the sales-to-payroll wedge: 5 percent and 15 percent.Slow growth. The 5 Percent Sales Growth column reflects operations in a mature market. This growth rate was achieved with no change in the gross margin percentage. As a result, cost of goods sold and gross margin also increase by 5 percent.The key to this column is that payroll expense increases only by 3 percent. This provides a 2 percent sales-to-payroll wedge (5 percent sales growth minus 3 percent payroll growth). For most firms, 2 percent is a realistic goal that should be part of planning.The other expenses (all of the nonpayroll items, such as rent, utilities, interest and the like) are assumed to increase at the same rate as sales. Realistically, such expenses would not grow as fast as sales; however, this assumption allows the figure to focus exclusively on the power of the sales-to-payroll wedge.The modest 5 percent sales growth does wonders for the bottom line if the 2 percent sales-to-payroll wedge can be generated. Profit increases from $140,000 to $171,500; an increase of 22.5 percent. Profit is now 2.3 percent of sales.Fast growth. The last column examines the impact of more rapid growth, defined here as a 15 percent sales increase. The same sorts of effects that were observed in the 5 percent column also are seen here. The gross margin percentage stays at 29 percent, so sales, cost of goods and gross margin all increase by 15 percent.A 2 percent sales-to-payroll wedge remains the goal, so payroll increases only by 13 percent. The other expenses follow the same growth path as sales and increase by 15 percent. The result is that profit grows by 32.5 percent to $185,500.A more rapid rate of sales growth produces a somewhat larger bottom line; however, to get to $185,500 in profit vs. the $171,500, the firm had to generate another $700,000 in sales. It probably had to hire more employees; payroll increased to $1.38 million. It was a lot more work.Rapid sales growth makes the sales-to-payroll wedge a little easier to produce. Sales growth, however, is not behind higher profits. What matters is how much sales can be increased in relationship to how much payroll has to increase to support that sales growth.Implementing the WedgeAt this point, producing a sales-to-payroll wedge should seem like a great idea. Readers may quibble with the 2 percent figure if they desire, but a wedge of some size seems essential. The issue is to identify how such a wedge can be generated.In trying to produce the sales-to-payroll wedge, remember that improved productivity systems probably are not the answer. Distributors have become much more sophisticated in using technology tools during the past decade, yet payroll remains about the same percent of sales as 10 years ago. There has been no sales-to-payroll wedge.Something else is required that necessitates attention to the three areas where the sales vs. payroll expense trade-off should be positive.Lines per order. Putting more lines on every order allows for a sales increase with only a modest payroll cost increase. Increasing the lines per order revolves around two actions.The first is to have the sales force do more add-on selling, an issue of monitoring, evaluating and compensating.The second action in driving more lines per order is to ensure customers are aware of everything in the firm's assortment. There’s nothing wrong with telling customers over and over about one-stop shopping.Fill rate. If you don't have it, you can’t sell it. And if you don't have it often enough, all of your customers go away. Improving the fill rate, however, leads to the requirement of carrying more inventory.Adding inventory to increase sales is always a good idea, but adding inventory without increasing sales is a terrible idea. Too many firms have cut inventory to the point that sales are affected negatively.Average line value. Increasing the average line value, or line extension, is largely a pricing issue. No customer wants to pay too much. Every distributor, however, has a large array of slower-selling items for which availability is much more critical than price. It is an opportunity that needs to be exploited to produce more sales dollars from the same unit sales.With the effort to increase the fill rate mentioned, the opportunity to be the “always in stock at a fair price” distributor increases substantially. The increased fill rate, though, must be supported by fair-value pricing. Firms must get paid for the services they provide.Moving ForwardPayroll as a percent of sales is stuck in a rut that goes back at least 10 years. If firms are going to lower their payroll expense percentages and increase their bottom lines, they must plan with the sales-to-payroll wedge in mind. Generating that wedge will require emphasizing three concepts: more lines per order, a higher fill rate and an increase in the average order line value.Albert D. Bates, Ph.D., is founder and president of Profit Planning Group. He is the author of the newly released “Breaking Down the Profit Barriers in Distribution” available through Amazon and Barnes & Noble.

Global CEO Survey

PwCIntroduction from Dennis Nally, chairman, PricewaterhouseCoopers International Ltd.:As they look forward to the year ahead, CEOs are less confident about prospects for the global economy than they were in 2015. The same is true overall when they consider their own company’s prospects for growth. Many CEOs do still see opportunities, but they are looking to play things safe.The United States and China are far and away the most important markets that CEOs identify as offering the best prospects for growth, with Germany and the United Kingdom some way behind. That said, CEOs also see potential in India’s bullish business attitude and in Brazil despite its current political and economic struggles.Potential new opportunities in Mexico and the UAE have also made CEOs pay attention in the last year. CEOs continue to highlight overregulation as their biggest concern. But even as issues like an increased tax burden and governments’ response to fiscal deficits and debt burdens loom large, geopolitical uncertainty (exacerbated by regional conflicts and increased terrorism attacks) is a top concern for nearly three-quarters of CEOs.More disorienting still for CEOs is their growing feeling that our globalised economic and social fabric is fraying as divergent political, business, societal and cultural movements take hold. This is driven by digital technologies that have enabled people all over the world to be more connected, better informed, and as a result, increasingly empowered and emboldened.It’s not lost on CEOs that a great many of these technologically empowered citizens are also their customers or potential customers. While they are better connected than ever before, they must also navigate a world that is being dramatically shaped by other megatrends such as increasing urbanisation, climate change and rapid demographic and social shifts.Faced with these changes, CEOs tell us that customers will increasingly judge companies based on how they help greater society and how they live up to their own values. Notably, nearly a quarter of CEOs said their company has changed its sense of purpose in the last three years to take into account the broader impact it has on society.To successfully address the expectations of a super-connected and technologically smart society, companies are looking to technology (of course) for answers. Internet-enabled technologies continue to help companies innovate by creating more relevant products and user experiences for customers, while "digital native" talent is now deemed essential for future business growth.Yet for all the technological breakthroughs in areas like customer insight and marketing, companies still struggle to create a business proposition that both drives growth and creates value for greater society.How to lead in complicated times? That’s the question all CEOs are seeking to answer at a time of prolonged and continuing uncertainty. This could be because, in a digitally driven world where theoretically every part of business can be measured, CEOs haven’t yet mastered how to measure the long-term success that comes from being a trusted company and good corporate citizen.Over time, technology, once again, will no doubt help CEOs effectively measure how better products and services, combined with a transparent relationship with customers, employees and greater society can future-proof their companies in this uncertain world. But they have to know what success looks like in the first place.I’d like to thank the more than 1,400 company leaders from 83 countries who have taken the time to share their insights with us. Their active and candid participation is the single greatest factor in the success of PwC’s Annual Global CEO Survey, now in its 19th year. We greatly appreciate our respondents’ willingness to free up their valuable time to make this survey as comprehensive and accurate as possible. We’re especially grateful to the 33 CEOs who sat down with us to hold deeper and more detailed conversations. You’ll see their comments throughout this report.Click for report 

2016 Retail Fuels Report

NACSBecause U.S. convenience stores sell an estimated 80 percent of the gasoline purchased, NACS wants to demystify how the market works — from the time crude oil is extracted from the ground to when fuel flows into a consumer’s gas tank.As 2016 began, gas prices were at $2 a gallon and falling, and oil prices were at lows not seen since the early 2000s. While consumers were delighted with lower prices, according to NACS surveys, prices could change as supply and demand shift, whether from world events or from the annual spring transition to summer-blend fuel.The NACS Retail Fuels Report was developed to help facilitate an open discussion about the issues impacting supply and prices through a better understanding of the retail fuels markets and help ease frustrations that consumers often experience when gasoline prices increase. And, most important, this resource can help provide insights and expertise on discussions that address the U.S. motor fuels industry.Click for report

Small Business Owners: There is Value in Increased Minimum Wage

Business News DailyAuthor Chad Brooks writes that small business owners say there are downsides to increasing wages for their entry-level workers. But many of these business owners also find positives in doing so.Nearly 60 percent of small business owners said they would likely vote for a state or national candidate who supports a minimum-wage increase. The results of the Manta study were released as California and New York recently approved measures to gradually increase their minimum wages to $15 per hour. Read more

Infographic: Fastest-Shrinking Cities in US

ForbesThe number of people living in U.S. cities has increased during the past few years, but at least 23 metropolitan areas experienced a decline in excess of 2 percent between 2010 and 2015. Data journalist Niall McCarthy writes that the fastest-shrinking city in the U.S. is Farmington, New Mexico. Also on that list is Pine Bluff, Arkansas.How will that affect your business? Is your city on that list? Read more

Why You Should Take Vacation Days on Business Trips

EntrepreneurAuthor Matt Sweetwood shares how he adds a day or two or three onto the end of a longer trip where he can really “vacation.” He says he doesn’t understand why business travelers don’t do it more often; they've already paid for the travel (less the extra hotel days), they've already invested the time in making the travel plans, and they are there – no wasted time away from the kids or work getting there.It’s the most efficient short vacation you can arrange. Read more

7 SWOT Analysis Tools for Small Businesses

Business News DailyIf you have never done a SWOT analysis, you might not know where to begin.First, what does "SWOT analysis" mean? The acronym stands for strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. Listing those as they apply to your business will help you evaluate your current market environment and how it might change for better or worse. Then, you can develop a sound response strategy.Here are seven tools, software and apps to help you get started. Read more

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